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NBAPlayer propPoints
Jalen Johnson over 19.5 points
Won49 of 81last season · 60%
Best price-137Kalshi
Price needs57.8%wins to break even
Every game50 of 82this season and last
Trend score-21.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 58% to break even | 27%–73% | 8 points shortwon 50%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 58% to break even | 33%–72% | 4 points shortwon 53%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 49 of 8160%needs 58% to break even | 51%–69% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 50 of 8261%needs 58% to break even | 52%–69% | 3 points betterwon 61%, needs 58% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ATL plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against CHA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jalen Johnson over 19.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ORL | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 30 |  NY | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 | NY | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | NY | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | NY | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | NY | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 18 | NY | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  CLE | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 | CLE | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 | NY | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 3 |  BKN | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | ORL | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  BOS | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 |  SAC | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 | BOS | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  DET | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  HOU | 14 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  DAL | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | ORL | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  MIL | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 | BKN | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | DAL | 27 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  PHI | 35 | +15.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 | MIL | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  POR | 8 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  WSH | 5 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | BKN | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  MIA | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | PHI | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 5 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 5 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 4 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  CHA | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | CHA | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 |  UTAH | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | MIA | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 |  IND | 33 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | BOS | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | IND | 15 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  PHX | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 |  MEM | 32 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | MIL | 28 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 | BOS | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | POR | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  LAL | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  GS | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  DEN | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  NO | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 5 |  TOR | 13 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | TOR | 30 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | NY | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  MIN | 34 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | NY | 20 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | MIA | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  CHI | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | CHI | 36 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  SA | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | CHA | 43 | +23.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | PHI | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 12 | DET | 19 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | WSH | 30 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DEN | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | DET | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | PHI | 41 | +21.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | CLE | 29 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | WSH | 7 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | CHA | 28 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | NO | 18 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | SA | 26 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | DET | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | PHX | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 13 | UTAH | 31 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | SAC | 24 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  LAC | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | TOR | 21 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | ORL | 17 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | CLE | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | IND | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | BKN | 23 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | CHI | 25 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | ORL | 12 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | TOR | 22 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 19.5 pointsJalen Johnson · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  -103at Kalshi | 32 of 81· last season40%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.