This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 36% to break even | 5%–56% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% | 17.2points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 36% to break even | 7%–46% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% | 17.4points |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 36% to break even | 17%–54% | 2 points shortwon 33%, needs 36% | 17.3points |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 36% to break even | 0%–73% | 36 points shortwon 0%, needs 36% | 18points |
| Last season | 23 of 8328% |
Tonight CLE plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BKN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 42 at home.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 20%–36% |
| 8 points shortwon 28%, needs 36% |
| 17.9points |
| Every game | 23 of 8427%needs 36% to break even | 20%–36% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 36% | 17.9points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 25 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| May 21 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 19 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 11 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 9 | +5.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 3 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 25 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 6 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 34 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 26 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 27 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 9 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 12 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 21 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 8 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 4 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 7 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 21 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 24 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 29 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 19 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 15 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 23 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 22 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| -175at Fanatics |
| 51 of 83· last season61%needs 64% to break even29 of 42 at home |
| Record is last season's |
| -27.0Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -130at Fanatics | 48 of 83· last season58%needs 57% to break even27 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 43 of 83· last season52%needs 50% to break even24 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 34 of 83· last season41%needs 45% to break even18 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -26.6Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 30 of 83· last season36%needs 40% to break even17 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +175at Fanatics | 27 of 83· last season33%needs 36% to break even16 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +230at Fanatics | 25 of 83· last season30%needs 30% to break even16 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -19.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -168at Kalshi |
| 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 63% to break even26 of 42 at home |
| 1.4Slight |
| Gets a triple-doubleEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +10000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 42 at home | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 reboundsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -109at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 52% to break even23 of 42 at home | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 blocksEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 46% to break even21 of 42 at home | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Over 1.5 threesEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 31% to break even10 of 42 at home | -9.5Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pts + astEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 51% to break even16 of 42 at home | -12.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 assistsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +271at DraftKings | 26 of 83· last season31%needs 27% to break even13 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -13.2Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +240at FanDuel | 28 of 83· last season34%needs 29% to break even12 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +126at Polymarket | 44 of 83· last season53%needs 44% to break even24 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 reb + astEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +103at DraftKings | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even20 of 42 at home | -14.5Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 assistsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -195at BetRivers | 62 of 83· last season75%needs 66% to break even30 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price |
| Under 26.5 pts + rebEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -118at DraftKings | 41 of 83· last season49%needs 54% to break even20 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -16.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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