This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | 17.2points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 17.4points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% | 17.3points |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 50% to break even | 27%–100% | 50 points betterwon 100%, needs 50% | 18points |
| Last season | 43 of 8352%needs 50% to break even | 43%–61% | 2 points betterwon 52%, needs 50% | 17.9points |
| Every game | 44 of 8452%needs 50% to break even | 43%–61% | 2 points betterwon 52%, needs 50% | 17.9points |
Tonight CLE plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against BKN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 24 of 42 at home.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 17.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 17.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 22 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 25 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 23 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 21 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 19 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 17 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 9 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 5 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 25 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 6 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 34 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 26 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 8 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 16 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 4 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 17 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 27 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 20 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 7 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 21 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 24 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 29 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 15 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 23 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | +166at Kalshi | 23 of 83· last season28%needs 38% to break even9 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 17.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -113at BetRivers | 40 of 83· last season48%needs 53% to break even18 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -20.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 19.5 pointsEvan Mobley · Today 7:40 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 53 of 83· last season64%needs 67% to break even25 of 42 at home | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.