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NBAPlayer propPoints
Victor Wembanyama under 29.5 points
Won66 of 89last season · 74%
Best price-191Kalshi
Price needs65.6%wins to break even
Every game68 of 91this season and last
Trend score-5.6Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 66% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 66% to break even | 44%–95% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | 22.4points |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 66% to break even | 65%–98% | 24 points betterwon 90%, needs 66% | 23.7points |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 66% to break even | 59%–92% | 14 points betterwon 80%, needs 66% | 25.1points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 66% to break even | 42%–100% | 34 points betterwon 100%, needs 66% | 18.5points |
| Last season | 66 of 8974%needs 66% to break even | 66%–81% | 9 points betterwon 74%, needs 66% | 24.4points |
| Every game | 68 of 9175%needs 66% to break even | 67%–81% | 9 points betterwon 75%, needs 66% | 24.3points |
Games like tonight
Tonight SA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 34 of 43 on the road.
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Every book's price
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Victor Wembanyama under 29.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  HOU | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Oct 20 |  OKC | 12 | +17.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 |  NY | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jun 10 | NY | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jun 8 | NY | 32 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jun 5 | NY | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jun 3 | NY | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 30 | OKC | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| May 28 | OKC | 28 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 26 | OKC | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| May 24 | OKC | 33 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 22 | OKC | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| May 20 | OKC | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| May 18 | OKC | 41 | -11.5 | Lost |
| May 15 |  MIN | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| May 12 | MIN | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 10 | MIN | 4 | +25.5 | Won |
| May 8 | MIN | 39 | -9.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | MIN | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| May 4 | MIN | 11 | +18.5 | Won |
| Apr 28 |  POR | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | POR | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | POR | 5 | +24.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | POR | 35 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  DAL | 40 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Apr 6 |  PHI | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 4 |  DEN | 34 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 |  GS | 41 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  CHI | 41 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  MIL | 23 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  MEM | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  MIA | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 21 |  IND | 20 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  PHX | 34 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  SAC | 18 | +11.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 |  LAC | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  CHA | 32 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  BOS | 39 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | HOU | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 6 | LAC | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  DET | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | PHI | 10 | +19.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | NY | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  BKN | 12 | +17.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 |  TOR | 12 | +17.5 | Won |
| Feb 23 | DET | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | SAC | 28 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 19 | PHX | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 14 | +15.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | GS | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 10 |  LAL | 40 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | DAL | 16 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | DAL | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | OKC | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 1 |  ORL | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | CHA | 16 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | HOU | 28 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 |  NO | 16 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  UTAH | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | HOU | 14 | +15.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | UTAH | 33 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | MIN | 39 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | MIL | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | OKC | 17 | +12.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | MIN | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | BOS | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | LAL | 16 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MEM | 30 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | NY | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  CLE | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | UTAH | 32 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | OKC | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | OKC | 12 | +17.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 |  WSH | 14 | +15.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 |  ATL | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | WSH | 15 | +14.5 | Won |
| Dec 16 | NY | 18 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 13 | OKC | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | GS | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | GS | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | CHI | 38 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 | NO | 18 | +11.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | HOU | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | LAL | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | PHX | 9 | +20.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | MIA | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | TOR | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | BKN | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | NO | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | DAL | 40 | -10.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 24.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris |  -183at Kalshi | 45 of 89· last season51%needs 65% to break even19 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -32.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 25.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris |  -175at Fanatics | 43 of 89· last season48%needs 64% to break even18 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -37.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 26.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | -140at Fanatics | 35 of 89· last season39%needs 58% to break even14 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -39.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 27.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | -115at Fanatics | 31 of 89· last season35%needs 53% to break even13 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -35.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 28.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +105at Fanatics | 28 of 89· last season31%needs 49% to break even12 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -34.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 29.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +146at Kalshi | 23 of 89· last season26%needs 41% to break even9 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -30.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 30.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +140at Fanatics | 22 of 89· last season25%needs 42% to break even8 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 31.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +170at Fanatics | 19 of 89· last season21%needs 37% to break even8 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 32.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +200at Fanatics | 16 of 89· last season18%needs 33% to break even7 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 33.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Harris | +240at Fanatics | 14 of 89· last season16%needs 29% to break even7 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Victor Wembanyama in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.