This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 64% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 64% to break even | 5%–56% | 44 points shortwon 20%, needs 64% | 22.4points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 64% to break even | 19%–65% | 24 points shortwon 40%, needs 64% | 23.7points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 64% to break even | 28%–67% | 17 points shortwon 47%, needs 64% | 25.1points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 64% to break even | 0%–58% | 64 points shortwon 0%, needs 64% | 18.5points |
| Last season | 43 of 8948% |
Tonight SA plays on the road, as the favorite, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against DAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 18 of 43 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 25.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 40%–57% |
| 15 points shortwon 48%, needs 64% |
| 24.4points |
| Every game | 43 of 9147%needs 64% to break even | 39%–56% | 16 points shortwon 47%, needs 64% | 24.3points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 25.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 20 | 12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jun 13 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 10 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jun 8 | 32 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jun 5 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jun 3 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 30 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 28 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 26 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 24 | 33 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 22 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 20 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| May 18 | 41 | +15.5 | Won | |
| May 15 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 12 | 27 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 4 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 39 | +13.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| May 4 | 11 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 28 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 27 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 21 | 5 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 35 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 40 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 6 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 4 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 41 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 41 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 20 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 34 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 17 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 32 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 39 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 27 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 38 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 10 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 23 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 14 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 40 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 25 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 28 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 14 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 33 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 39 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 17 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 21 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 30 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 32 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 12 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 14 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 15 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 16 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 13 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 26 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 38 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 9 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 27 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 24 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 31 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 40 | +14.5 | Won | |
| +140at Kalshi |
| 44 of 89· last season49%needs 42% to break even24 of 43 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -10.6Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -103at BetOnline | 58 of 89· last season65%needs 51% to break even30 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 61 of 89· last season69%needs 57% to break even31 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -3.3Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pointsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 66 of 89· last season74%needs 65% to break even34 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -118at DraftKings |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 54% to break even34 of 43 on the road |
| 14.5Strong |
| Under 39.5 pts + rebVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even30 of 43 on the road | 6.0Good |
| Under 42.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even29 of 43 on the road | 3.8Good |
| Under 31.5 pts + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -121at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 55% to break even33 of 43 on the road | 3.7Good |
| Under 43.5 pts + reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -113at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even30 of 43 on the road | 3.1Good |
| Under 30.5 pts + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -106at FanDuel | 59 of 89· last season66%needs 51% to break even31 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | 1.0Slight |
| Gets a triple-doubleVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | +5000at FanDuel | 2 of 89· last season2%needs 2% to break even0 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 assistsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | +124at FanDuel | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even21 of 43 on the road | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 assistsVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 66% to break even32 of 43 on the road | -6.6Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -127at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 56% to break even29 of 43 on the road | -7.0Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 reb + astVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | +102at FanDuel | 50 of 89· last season56%needs 50% to break even25 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -8.9Not beating its price |
| Under 3.5 blocksVictor Wembanyama · Today 8:10 PM ET | -142at Kalshi | 55 of 89· last season62%needs 59% to break even27 of 43 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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