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NBAPlayer propThrees
Davion Mitchell over 1.5 threes
Won30 of 71last season · 42%
Best price+159Kalshi
Price needs38.6%wins to break even
Every game30 of 72this season and last
Trend score-13.5Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 8 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 39% to break even | 0%–73% | 39 points shortwon 0%, needs 39% |
| Last season | 30 of 7142%needs 39% to break even | 33%–52% | 4 points betterwon 42%, needs 39% |
| Every game | 30 of 7242%needs 39% to break even | 33%–51% | 3 points betterwon 42%, needs 39% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Davion Mitchell over 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 14 |  CHA | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  ATL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 9 |  TOR | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 | TOR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 4 |  WSH | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 1 |  BOS | 5 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 29 |  IND | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  CLE | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  SA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  HOU | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  LAL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 | CHA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  MIL | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | WSH | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | CHA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  BKN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | BKN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | HOU | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | MIL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | ATL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  NO | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  UTAH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | WSH | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | BOS | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  CHI | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 |  SAC | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 |  GS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  PHX | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 |  OKC | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 | IND | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | MIN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | NO | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 | DET | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 |  DEN | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | IND | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | ATL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | TOR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  NY | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | BKN | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | TOR | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 9 | ORL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 | ORL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  DAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 |  LAC | 4 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | DET | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | DAL | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | PHI | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | CHI | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | GS | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | NY | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | CLE | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | CLE | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 8 |  POR | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CHA | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | DEN | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | LAC | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 2 | LAL | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | SA | 3 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | CHA | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | NY | 1 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 |  MEM | 0 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | ORL | 2 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Davion Mitchell in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 pointsDavion Mitchell · Today 8:10 PM ET |  +101at Kalshi | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -5.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 7.5 assistsDavion Mitchell · Today 8:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 24 of 71· last season34%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsDavion Mitchell · Today 8:10 PM ET | -183at Kalshi | 44 of 71· last season62%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 assistsDavion Mitchell · Today 8:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 27 of 71· last season38%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 9.5 pointsDavion Mitchell · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 36 of 71· last season51%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.