This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 40% to break even | 19%–65% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 14 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 27 of 8133%needs 40% to break even | 25%–42% | 6 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Every game | 27 of 8233%needs 40% to break even | 25%–42% | 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 13 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 7 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 1 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 0 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 0 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 assistsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 24.5 pointsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 45 of 81· last season56%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 reboundsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 46 of 81· last season57%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 reboundsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 35 of 81· last season43%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 24.5 pointsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 57% to break even | -26.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 assistsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 41 of 81· last season51%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.