This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 50% to break even | 5%–56% | 30 points shortwon 20%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 50% to break even | 27%–73% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 45 of 8156%needs 50% to break even | 46%–64% | 6 points betterwon 56%, needs 50% |
| Every game | 45 of 8255%needs 50% to break even | 46%–64% | 5 points betterwon 55%, needs 50% |
Tonight DET plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against MIA. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 20 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 17 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| May 15 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| May 13 | 39 | +14.5 | Won | |
| May 11 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| May 9 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| May 7 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| May 5 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 3 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 45 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Apr 27 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 22 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 19 | 39 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 7 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 13 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 6 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 33 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 8 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 10 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 42 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 0 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | STRIPES | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Feb 15 | WORLD | 4 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | 28 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 33 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 11 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 10 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 31 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 30 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 27 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 14 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 32 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 15 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 39 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 42 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 29 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 18 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 46 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 34 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 31 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 33 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 30 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 12 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 25 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 21 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 24.5 pointsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 55% to break even | -24.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 assistsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 58% to break even | -8.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 2.5 threesCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 40% to break even | -14.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 5.5 reboundsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 46 of 81· last season57%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 reboundsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 35 of 81· last season43%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 2.5 threesCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 54 of 81· last season67%needs 66% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 assistsCade Cunningham · Today 8:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 41 of 81· last season51%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.