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NBAPlayer propPoints
Giannis Antetokounmpo under 29.5 points
Won10 of 15last 15 games · 67%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game19 of 37this season and last
Trend score-20.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 62% to break even | 46%–83% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 62% to break even | 0%–73% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 19 of 3653%needs 62% to break even | 39%–66% | 9 points shortwon 53%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 19 of 3751%needs 62% to break even | 38%–64% | 10 points shortwon 51%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIA plays at home, as the favorite, after a loss, against DET. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Giannis Antetokounmpo under 29.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 29.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 29.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIN | 35 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 15 |  IND | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  MIA | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  PHX | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  UTAH | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 |  ATL | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 2 |  BOS | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  DEN | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 21 |  OKC | 19 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | ATL | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 15 |  SA | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 | MIN | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | DEN | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 9 |  LAL | 21 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  GS | 34 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  SAC | 37 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  CHA | 30 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 |  WSH | 33 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CHA | 24 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  CHI | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  DET | 2 | +27.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | WSH | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 |  BKN | 29 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 |  NY | 30 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 |  CLE | 14 | +15.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | LAL | 32 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | CHA | 25 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  DAL | 30 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  HOU | 37 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CHI | 41 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 |  TOR | 22 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | IND | 33 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | SAC | 26 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 28 | NY | 37 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | CLE | 40 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | TOR | 31 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | WSH | 37 | -7.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 29.5 pointsGiannis Antetokounmpo · Today 8:10 PM ET |  +114at Kalshi | 17 of 36· last season47%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Giannis Antetokounmpo in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 assistsGiannis Antetokounmpo · Today 8:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 21 of 36· last season58%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsGiannis Antetokounmpo · Today 8:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 15 of 36· last season42%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.