This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 9 of 1560%needs 44% to break even | 39%–78% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 26.5 pts + astTy Jerome · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 reb + astTy Jerome |
| Every game | 9 of 1656%needs 44% to break even | 36%–74% | 12 points betterwon 56%, needs 44% |
| 23 |
| +3.5 |
| Won |
| Mar 18 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 | 24 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | 34 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 | 16 | +10.5 | Won |
| Feb 25 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 21 | 21 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 7 | 14 | +12.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | 35 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | 26 | +0.5 | Won |
| -165at Bovada |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 62% to break even |
| -29.3Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 57% to break even | -31.4Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -108at FanDuel | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 52% to break even | -27.2Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at DraftKings | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 48% to break even | -23.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -122at DraftKings |
| 13 of 15· last season87%needs 55% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -0.9Not beating its price |
| Yes triple-doubleTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +7000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even | -1.1Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 reboundsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.2Not beating its price |
| Under 8.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +190at Bovada | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.1Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.4Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pointsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -185at Bovada | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.3Not beating its price |
| Under 25.5 pts + rebTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at FanDuel | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.5Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.9Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pointsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pointsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -117at Caesars | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.8Not beating its price |
| Under 7.5 assistsTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -191at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 66% to break even | -8.2Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 9 of 15· last season60%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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