This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 55% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 55% to break even | 27%–86% | 5 points betterwon 60%, needs 55% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 55% to break even | 54%–93% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 55% to break even | 59%–92% | 25 points betterwon 80%, needs 55% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 55% to break even | 0%–73% | 55 points shortwon 0%, needs 55% |
| Last season | 13 of 1587%needs 55% to break even | 67%–95% | 32 points betterwon 87%, needs 55% |
| Every game | 13 of 1681%needs 55% to break even | 61%–92% | 26 points betterwon 81%, needs 55% |
Tonight MEM plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against GS. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 23 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 18 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 4 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 2 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 14 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 7 | +3.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -260at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 72% to break even | -36.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 62% to break even | -33.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | -102at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 50% to break even | -32.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at DraftKings | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 42% to break even | -25.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 12.5 reb + astTy Jerome · Today 10:10 PM ET | +199at BetOnline | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 33% to break even | -19.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.