This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 67% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 67% to break even | 27%–86% | 7 points shortwon 60%, needs 67% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 67% to break even | 27%–73% | 17 points shortwon 50%, needs 67% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 67% to break even | 46%–83% | evenwon 67%, needs 67% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 67% to break even | 27%–100% | 33 points betterwon 100%, needs 67% |
| Last season | 42 of 8251%needs 67% to break even | 42%–60% | 15 points shortwon 51%, needs 67% |
| Every game | 43 of 8352%needs 67% to break even | 43%–61% | 15 points shortwon 52%, needs 67% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Total points in each game against over 230.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 227.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DAL +7.5 2nd quarter spreadDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | Total points | Beat 230.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 238 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 277 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 259 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | 219 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 219 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 262 | +31.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 265 | +34.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 222 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 193 | -37.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 277 | +46.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 268 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 269 | +38.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 255 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 240 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 250 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 243 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 236 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 220 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 207 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 187 | -43.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 229 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 251 | +20.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 237 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 264 | +33.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 228 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 263 | +32.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 258 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 210 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 244 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 223 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 238 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 211 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 258 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 266 | +35.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 227 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 218 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 198 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 214 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 247 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 220 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 242 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 261 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 235 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 15 | 273 | +42.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 231 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 243 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 226 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 252 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 248 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 208 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 198 | -32.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 233 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 271 | +40.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 260 | +29.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 237 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 230 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 216 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 222 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 200 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 232 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 212 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 195 | -35.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 268 | +37.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 224 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 217 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| 33 of 82· last season40%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -8.5Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 233.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +137at Polymarket | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.9Not beating its price |
| Under 234.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -15.3Not beating its price |
| Under 235 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 49 of 81· last season60%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.1Not beating its price |
| Under 235.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 50 of 82· last season61%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price |
| Under 236 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 50 of 81· last season62%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.1Not beating its price |
| Under 236.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.1Not beating its price |
| Under 237 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 51 of 80· last season64%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price |
| Under 237.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -101at Polymarket | 53 of 82· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.4Not beating its price |
| Under 238 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 53 of 81· last season65%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.2Not beating its price |
| Under 238.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -114at Polymarket | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Under 239.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 54 of 82· last season66%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.5Not beating its price |
| Under 240.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -139at Polymarket | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.0Not beating its price |
| Under 241.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 55 of 82· last season67%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.8Not beating its price |
| Under 242.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -168at Kalshi | 56 of 82· last season68%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.0Not beating its price |
| Under 243.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 58 of 82· last season71%needs 64% to break even | Record is last season's | -24.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 72 of 82· last season88%needs 61% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 4.5Good |
| DAL +5.5 2nd quarter spreadDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 61 of 82· last season74%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Under 111.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 39 of 82· last season48%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 115.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -103at Kalshi | 49 of 82· last season60%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.6Not beating its price |
| Over 119.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +146at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 41% to break even | -15.8Not beating its price |
| DAL +3.5 2nd quarter spreadDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 48 of 82· last season59%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -16.0Not beating its price |
| Over 121.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 34% to break even | -16.8Not beating its price |
| DAL -1.5 spreadDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +202at Polymarket | 25 of 82· last season30%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| DAL to win moneylineDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | NV+194at Novig | 26 of 82· last season32%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.2Not beating its price |
| Under 117.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 51 of 82· last season62%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.8Not beating its price |
| Over 117.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even | -21.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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