This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 46% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 46% to break even | 27%–86% | 14 points betterwon 60%, needs 46% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 46% to break even | 19%–65% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 46% to break even | 22%–61% | 6 points shortwon 40%, needs 46% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 46% to break even | 0%–73% | 46 points shortwon 0%, needs 46% |
| Last season | 48 of 8259%needs 46% to break even | 49%–67% | 13 points betterwon 59%, needs 46% |
| Every game | 48 of 8358%needs 46% to break even | 49%–66% | 12 points betterwon 58%, needs 46% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
2Q margin in each game against dal 2q +3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 111.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | 2Q margin | Beat -3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -26 | -22.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | 13 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 8 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 30 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 13 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | -6 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 5 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 12 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 19 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 9 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | -11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 13 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | -17 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 1 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 5 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | -15 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 15 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 15 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 8 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | -5 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | -3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 4 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | -4 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -8 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 0 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | -13 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | -7 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | -1 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | -2 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | -13 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | -10 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| 39 of 82· last season48%needs 39% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 228.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +218at Kalshi | 34 of 82· last season41%needs 31% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.7Not beating its price |
| Over 246.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +215at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 32% to break even | -8.3Not beating its price |
| Under 227.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +212at Polymarket | 33 of 82· last season40%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price |
| Over 245.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 33% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 113.5 team totalDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +129at Kalshi | 42 of 82· last season51%needs 44% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Under 230.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 40 of 82· last season49%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 231.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +162at Polymarket | 43 of 82· last season52%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Over 244.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +180at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 36% to break even | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Under 232.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +149at Polymarket | 47 of 82· last season57%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.5Not beating its price |
| Under 229.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 36 of 82· last season44%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 243.5 game total, DAL gamesDallas Mavericks · Today 7:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 38% to break even | -13.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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