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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Daniel Gafford over 7.5 rebounds
Won21 of 55last season · 38%
Best price+114Kalshi
Price needs46.7%wins to break even
Every game21 of 56this season and last
Trend score-21.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 47% to break even | 27%–73% | 3 points betterwon 50%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 47% to break even | 28%–67% | evenwon 47%, needs 47% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 47% to break even | 0%–73% | 47 points shortwon 0%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 21 of 5538%needs 47% to break even | 28%–49% | 9 points shortwon 38%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 21 of 5638%needs 47% to break even | 28%–48% | 9 points shortwon 38%, needs 47% |
Games like tonight
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Daniel Gafford over 7.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against over 7.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 7.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  HOU | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 |  LAL | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  ORL | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  MIL | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  MIN | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  GS | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  LAC | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  ATL | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  MEM | 14 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 | ATL | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  TOR | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | ORL | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  CHA | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  OKC | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 27 | MEM | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 |  BKN | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  IND | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | MIN | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 12 | LAL | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 10 |  PHX | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 |  SA | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 | SA | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 3 |  BOS | 12 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | HOU | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | CHA | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | MIN | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 24 | LAL | 2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 14 |  DEN | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CHI | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 |  UTAH | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 |  SAC | 13 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | HOU | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 1 |  PHI | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 |  POR | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | SAC | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | GS | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | DEN | 3 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 22 |  NO | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | PHI | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 |  DET | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 15 | UTAH | 2 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 |  MIA | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | LAL | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | MIA | 11 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | MEM | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | NO | 7 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 |  NY | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | POR | 6 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | LAC | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | PHX | 9 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | MIL | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 |  WSH | 5 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | MEM | 1 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | NO | 8 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | HOU | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | DET | 4 | -3.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 reboundsDaniel Gafford · Today 7:10 PM ET |  -148at Kalshi | 34 of 55· last season62%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Daniel Gafford in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsDaniel Gafford · Today 7:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 33 of 55· last season60%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 9.5 pointsDaniel Gafford · Today 7:10 PM ET | -112at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 53% to break even | -23.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.