This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 57% to break even | 14%–73% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 57% to break even | 13%–56% | 27 points shortwon 30%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 57% to break even | 22%–61% | 17 points shortwon 40%, needs 57% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 57% to break even | 0%–73% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 40 of 7454%needs 57% to break even | 45%–63% | 2 points shortwon 54%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 40 of 7553%needs 57% to break even | 44%–63% | 3 points shortwon 53%, needs 57% |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 18.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 18.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 7 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 25 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 32 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 39 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 32 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 8 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 27 | 6 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 42 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 28 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 10 | 33 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 7 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 35 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 19 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 39 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 23 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 26 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 27 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 31 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 1 | 10 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 26 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 16 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 22 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 18 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 17 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 14 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 24 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 30 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 32 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 12 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 7 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 5 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 9 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 15 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 11 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | +14.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -200at BetRivers | 49 of 74· last season66%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -128at FanDuel | 42 of 74· last season57%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -7.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +180at BetMGM | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even | 1.6Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.