This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 40% to break even | 14%–73% | evenwon 40%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 40% to break even | 35%–81% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 40% to break even | 27%–100% | 60 points betterwon 100%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 40 of 7454%needs 40% to break even | 45%–63% | 14 points betterwon 54%, needs 40% |
| Every game |
Tonight DAL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against IND. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 14.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 pointsNaji Marshall · |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pts + astNaji Marshall |
| 45%–64% |
| 15 points betterwon 55%, needs 40% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 14.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 7 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 32 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 25 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 5 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 4 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 36 | +21.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 12 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 10 | 31 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 6 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 32 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 8 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 30 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 19 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 24 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 10 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 11 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 25 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 22 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 15 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 15 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 23 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 28 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 30 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 16 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 3 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 9 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 7 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 3 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| +215at Bovada |
| 25 of 74· last season34%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -13.5Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +160at Bovada | 26 of 74· last season35%needs 38% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.6Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 28 of 74· last season38%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -107at DraftKings | 31 of 74· last season42%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.2Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 34 of 74· last season46%needs 59% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.9Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -185at Bovada | 40 of 74· last season54%needs 65% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pointsNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -240at Bovada | 45 of 74· last season61%needs 71% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +180at BetMGM |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 36% to break even |
| 1.6Slight |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +210at FanDuel | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 32% to break even | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Yes double-doubleNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +2100at DraftKings | 2 of 74· last season3%needs 5% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.1Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +102at BetRivers | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 50% to break even | -7.9Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + reb + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even | -9.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + rebNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +176at FanDuel | 33 of 74· last season45%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.3Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 50% to break even | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pts + rebNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -118at BetRivers | 47 of 74· last season64%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.3Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reb + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | +175at Bovada | 28 of 74· last season38%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.6Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pts + rebNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -119at DraftKings | 45 of 74· last season61%needs 54% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pts + astNaji Marshall · Today 7:10 PM ET | -128at FanDuel | 42 of 74· last season57%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -13.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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