This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 50% to break even | 14%–73% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | 33.8points and rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 50% to break even | 19%–65% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | 32.7points and rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 50% to break even | 28%–67% | 3 points shortwon 47%, needs 50% | 31.7points and rebounds |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 50% to break even | 12%–88% | evenwon 50%, needs 50% | 32points and rebounds |
| Last season | 8 of 2040%needs 50% to break even | 24%–58% | 10 points shortwon 40%, needs 50% | 31.4points and rebounds |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 50% to break even | 26%–58% | 9 points shortwon 41%, needs 50% | 31.5points and rebounds |
Tonight WSH plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 8 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 34.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 34.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 18 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 46 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 32 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 35 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 21 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 6 | +28.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 52 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 39 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 29 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 38 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 37 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 10 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 34 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 45 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 8 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 37 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 35 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 40 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 35 | -0.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 33.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -160at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 62% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.4Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -112at FanDuel | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 53% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 35.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -109at DraftKings | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 52% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 39.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +200at FanDuel | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 33% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -19.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gets a triple-doubleAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +10000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 8 on the road | -0.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 19.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +200at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -9.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +104at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -9.6Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +240at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 29% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price | ||
| Under 9.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +205at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 33% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -12.2Not beating its price | ||
| Under 21.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -12.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -141at BetOnline | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 59% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 20.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +155at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 39% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -14.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +260at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 28% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -118at BetOnline | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 54% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -14.4Not beating its price | ||
| Under 22.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +105at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -15.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.