This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 33% to break even | 5%–56% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% | 12rebounds |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 33% to break even | 19%–65% | 7 points betterwon 40%, needs 33% | 11.2rebounds |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 33% to break even | 22%–61% | 7 points betterwon 40%, needs 33% | 11.5rebounds |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 33% to break even | 12%–88% | 17 points betterwon 50%, needs 33% | 10.5rebounds |
| Last season | 7 of 2035%needs 33% to break even | 20%–53% | 2 points betterwon 35%, needs 33% | 11.1rebounds |
| Every game | 8 of 2236%needs 33% to break even | 22%–54% | 4 points betterwon 36%, needs 33% | 11rebounds |
Tonight WSH plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 3 of 8 on the road.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 16 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 12 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 3 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 9 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 15 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 5 | 8 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 5 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 11 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 10 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 13 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -243at DraftKings | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 71% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -24.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 10.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -150at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -16.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 47% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -13.8Not beating its price | ||
| Over 12.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 9 of 20· last season45%needs 42% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +240at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 29% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.