This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 39% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 39% to break even | 14%–73% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 21.8points |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 39% to break even | 19%–65% | 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% | 21.5points |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 39% to break even | 28%–67% | 7 points betterwon 47%, needs 39% | 20.1points |
| This season | 1 of 250%needs 39% to break even | 12%–88% | 11 points betterwon 50%, needs 39% | 21.5points |
| Last season |
Tonight WSH plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against CHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 4 of 8 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 20.5 by |
|---|
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gets a triple-double |
| 24%–58% |
| 1 points betterwon 40%, needs 39% |
| 20.4points |
| Every game | 9 of 2241%needs 39% to break even | 26%–58% | 2 points betterwon 41%, needs 39% | 20.5points |
| Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 9 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 21 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 3 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 31 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 35 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 2 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 32 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 12 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 4 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| -232at DraftKings |
| 12 of 20· last season60%needs 70% to break even4 of 8 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -28.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -196at BetOnline | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 66% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -25.6Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -165at Bovada | 11 of 20· last season55%needs 62% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.5Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -122at BetOnline | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 55% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 10 of 20· last season50%needs 50% to break even3 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +125at Fanatics | 8 of 20· last season40%needs 44% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -20.7Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +140at Fanatics | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 42% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +170at Fanatics | 5 of 20· last season25%needs 37% to break even2 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -21.0Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +210at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 32% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pointsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +260at Fanatics | 3 of 10· last 10 games30%needs 28% to break even2 of 8 on the road | -14.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +10000at FanDuel |
| 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 8 on the road |
| -0.8Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +104at FanDuel | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 49% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -9.6Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +240at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 29% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -11.8Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 33% to break even3 of 8 on the road | -12.2Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -141at BetOnline | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 59% to break even6 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -13.1Not beating its price |
| Over 36.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -118at BetOnline | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 54% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.3Not beating its price |
| Over 11.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 48% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -112at FanDuel | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 53% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -14.7Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pts + reb + astAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -184at FanDuel | 14 of 20· last season70%needs 65% to break even5 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.1Not beating its price |
| Over 3.5 assistsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +182at FanDuel | 7 of 20· last season35%needs 35% to break even4 of 8 on the road | Record is last season's | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Under 2.5 assistsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | +105at BetOnline | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 49% to break even4 of 8 on the road | -15.8Not beating its price |
| Over 10.5 reboundsAnthony Davis · Today 8:10 PM ET | -150at Fanatics | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 60% to break even5 of 8 on the road | -16.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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