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NBAPlayer propPoints
Ryan Rollins under 11.5 points
Won16 of 74last season · 22%
Best price+180Bovada
Price needs35.7%wins to break even
Every game18 of 76this season and last
Trend score-24.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 36% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 36% to break even | 14%–73% | 4 points betterwon 40%, needs 36% | 18.2points |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 36% to break even | 7%–46% | 16 points shortwon 20%, needs 36% | 19.3points |
| Last 15 games | 2 of 1513%needs 36% to break even | 5%–33% | 22 points shortwon 13%, needs 36% | 18.9points |
| This season | 2 of 2100%needs 36% to break even | 42%–100% | 64 points betterwon 100%, needs 36% | 10points |
| Last season | 16 of 7422%needs 36% to break even | 15%–30% | 14 points shortwon 22%, needs 36% | 17.3points |
| Every game | 18 of 7624%needs 36% to break even | 17%–33% | 12 points shortwon 24%, needs 36% | 17.1points |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 9 of 37 on the road.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Ryan Rollins under 11.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 |  CHI | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 |  WSH | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 8 |  DET | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  MEM | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  DAL | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 |  SA | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  POR | 36 | -24.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  LAC | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  PHX | 26 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Mar 19 |  UTAH | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  CLE | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  IND | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 14 |  ATL | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Mar 12 |  MIA | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 | PHX | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 |  ORL | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | UTAH | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 4 | ATL | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 2 |  BOS | 5 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | CHI | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 27 |  NY | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 25 | CLE | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | MIA | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  TOR | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  NO | 27 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | ORL | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | IND | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | NO | 27 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | CHI | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | BOS | 25 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | WSH | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 27 |  PHI | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 23 |  DEN | 21 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 21 |  OKC | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 19 | ATL | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | SA | 6 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  MIN | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | DEN | 2 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  LAL | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 |  GS | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  SAC | 12 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 2 |  CHA | 29 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | WSH | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CHA | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | CHI | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | MEM | 15 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | IND | 23 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | MIN | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | TOR | 17 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  BKN | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | BOS | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | DET | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | PHI | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | DET | 22 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Dec 1 | WSH | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 29 | BKN | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | NY | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | MIA | 26 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | POR | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 22 | DET | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | PHI | 32 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Nov 17 | CLE | 24 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | LAL | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | CHA | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | CHA | 25 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | DAL | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 |  HOU | 19 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | CHI | 20 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 4 | TOR | 11 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | IND | 10 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | SAC | 16 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 30 | GS | 32 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | NY | 25 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | CLE | 14 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | TOR | 13 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | WSH | 9 | +2.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET |  -217at DraftKings | 58 of 74· last season78%needs 68% to break even28 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -11.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 12.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET |  -175at Fanatics | 56 of 74· last season76%needs 64% to break even27 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 13.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -130at Fanatics | 48 of 74· last season65%needs 57% to break even22 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -12.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 14.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +101at Kalshi | 43 of 74· last season58%needs 50% to break even18 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -9.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 15.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +120at Bovada | 40 of 74· last season54%needs 45% to break even16 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -10.0Not beating its price | |
| Over 16.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +155at Bovada | 34 of 74· last season46%needs 39% to break even13 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 17.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +200at Bovada | 32 of 74· last season43%needs 33% to break even12 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 18.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET |  +240at Caesars | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 29% to break even12 of 37 on the road | 0.8Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Ryan Rollins in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.