This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 29% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price | Average |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 29% to break even | 27%–86% | 31 points betterwon 60%, needs 29% | 18.2points |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 29% to break even | 27%–73% | 21 points betterwon 50%, needs 29% | 19.3points |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 29% to break even | 33%–72% | 24 points betterwon 53%, needs 29% | 18.9points |
| This season | 0 of 20%needs 29% to break even | 0%–58% | 29 points shortwon 0%, needs 29% | 10points |
| Last season |
Tonight MIL plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, on a back-to-back, against PHI. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
This season and last: 12 of 37 on the road.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 18.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
This player's other props in the game.
| 33%–51% |
| 12 points betterwon 42%, needs 29% |
| 17.3points |
| Every game | 31 of 7641%needs 29% to break even | 32%–50% | 11 points betterwon 41%, needs 29% | 17.1points |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 18.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 23 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 8 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 36 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | 26 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 22 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 2 | 5 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 27 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 18 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 27 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 22 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 27 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 25 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 17 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 21 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 15 | 6 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 2 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 12 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 29 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 17 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 22 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 26 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 32 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 24 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 25 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 11 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 10 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 32 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 25 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 14 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 9 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| +180at Bovada |
| 16 of 74· last season22%needs 36% to break even9 of 37 on the road |
| Record is last season's |
| -24.7Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 18 of 74· last season24%needs 43% to break even10 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.0Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 26 of 74· last season35%needs 49% to break even15 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -28.7Not beating its price |
| Under 14.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -119at Polymarket | 31 of 74· last season42%needs 54% to break even19 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -31.2Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 34 of 74· last season46%needs 62% to break even21 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -210at Bovada | 40 of 74· last season54%needs 68% to break even24 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -36.3Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -275at Bovada | 42 of 74· last season57%needs 73% to break even25 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -41.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -125at FanDuel |
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 56% to break even24 of 37 on the road |
| 1.5Slight |
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -105at Fanatics | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even22 of 37 on the road | 0.2Slight |
| Gets a triple-doubleRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +10000at FanDuel | 0 of 5· last 5 games0%needs 1% to break even0 of 37 on the road | -0.9Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + astRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +100at BetMGM | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 50% to break even21 of 37 on the road | -1.7Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +220at FanDuel | 33 of 74· last season45%needs 31% to break even13 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -2.5Not beating its price |
| Over 5.5 assistsRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +176at FanDuel | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 36% to break even16 of 37 on the road | -3.1Not beating its price |
| Gets a double-doubleRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +1420at DraftKings | 2 of 15· last 15 games13%needs 7% to break even2 of 37 on the road | -3.4Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pts + reb + astRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -170at Bovada | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 63% to break even26 of 37 on the road | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + reb + astRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | +171at BetOnline | 36 of 74· last season49%needs 37% to break even14 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -4.8Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 pts + rebRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 56 of 74· last season76%needs 64% to break even27 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Over 18.5 pts + astRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -128at FanDuel | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 56% to break even23 of 37 on the road | -6.8Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 pts + rebRyan Rollins · Today 7:40 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 51 of 74· last season69%needs 57% to break even24 of 37 on the road | Record is last season's | -7.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. A thin upright line marks where this season starts. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price. A yes-or-no bet (a draw, both teams to score, a TD) shows one same-size bar per game, green when it won.
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