This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 40% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 40% to break even | 27%–86% | 20 points betterwon 60%, needs 40% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 40% to break even | 44%–87% | 30 points betterwon 70%, needs 40% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 40% to break even | 33%–72% | 13 points betterwon 53%, needs 40% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 40% to break even | 0%–73% | 40 points shortwon 0%, needs 40% |
| Last season | 22 of 6534%needs 40% to break even | 25%–44% | 6 points shortwon 34%, needs 40% |
| Every game |
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 13.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 13.5 reb + astLuka Doncic |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 stealsLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET |
| 25%–43% |
| 7 points shortwon 33%, needs 40% |
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 13.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 2 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 16 | 10 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 22 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 12 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 8 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 2 | +11.5 | Won |
| Feb 5 | 6 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 23 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 24 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 11 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 23 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 20 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 12 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 4 | 17 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 12 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 12 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 25 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 10 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 7 | 26 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 25 | 22 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 15 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 14 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 13 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 16 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 22 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 18 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 19 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 21 | 21 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| -200at Bovada |
| 43 of 65· last season66%needs 67% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -36.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 reb + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at BetOnline | 38 of 65· last season58%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -30.1Not beating its price |
| Over 15.5 reb + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +106at BetOnline | 35 of 65· last season54%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.2Not beating its price |
| Over 16.5 reb + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at BetOnline | 30 of 65· last season46%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.4Not beating its price |
| Over 17.5 reb + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +210at DraftKings | 25 of 65· last season38%needs 32% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +140at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 42% to break even |
| 0.0Slight |
| Over 3.5 threesLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -103at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 51% to break even | -1.9Not beating its price |
| Over 4.5 threesLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +210at FanDuel | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 32% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Over 34.5 pointsLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +152at Kalshi | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 40% to break even | -4.1Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pointsLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -220at BetRivers | 14 of 15· last 15 games93%needs 69% to break even | -4.4Not beating its price |
| Over 35.5 pointsLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +170at BetRivers | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 37% to break even | -4.5Not beating its price |
| Over 39.5 pts + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -104at BetRivers | 41 of 65· last season63%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pointsLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -112at BetRivers | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 53% to break even | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 pts + rebLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +200at FanDuel | 24 of 65· last season37%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.5Not beating its price |
| Yes triple-doubleLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | +1000at Fanatics | 8 of 65· last season12%needs 9% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Over 38.5 pts + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -122at BetRivers | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -5.8Not beating its price |
| Over 44.5 pts + reb + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -157at BetRivers | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 61% to break even | -6.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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