Loading
NBAPlayer propPts + ast
Luka Doncic over 39.5 pts + ast
Won41 of 65last season · 63%
Best price-104BetRivers
Price needs51.0%wins to break even
Every game41 of 66this season and last
Trend score-5.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 51% to break even | 44%–87% | 19 points betterwon 70%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 51% to break even | 52%–87% | 22 points betterwon 73%, needs 51% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 51% to break even | 0%–73% | 51 points shortwon 0%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 41 of 6563%needs 51% to break even | 53%–72% | 12 points betterwon 63%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 41 of 6662%needs 51% to break even | 52%–71% | 11 points betterwon 62%, needs 51% |
Games like tonight
Tonight LAL plays at home, as the favorite, after a win, against LAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Luka Doncic over 39.5 pts + ast4 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Pts + ast in each game against over 39.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 39.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  GS | 35 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 2 |  OKC | 19 | -20.5 | Lost |
| Mar 31 |  CLE | 54 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 27 |  BKN | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  IND | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 23 |  DET | 38 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 21 |  ORL | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 19 |  MIA | 63 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  HOU | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 16 | HOU | 40 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 14 |  DEN | 43 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 12 |  CHI | 60 | +20.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  MIN | 42 | +2.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 |  NY | 39 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 | IND | 49 | +9.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | DEN | 34 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  NO | 34 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 |  SAC | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 28 | GS | 34 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Feb 26 |  PHX | 49 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | ORL | 37 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  BOS | 28 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  LAC | 49 | +9.5 | Won |
| Feb 15 | STARS | 4 | -35.5 | Lost |
| Feb 5 |  PHI | 12 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | BKN | 29 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 | NY | 38 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 30 |  WSH | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | CLE | 35 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | CHI | 58 | +18.5 | Won |
| Jan 24 |  DAL | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 | LAC | 40 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | DEN | 48 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 |  TOR | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 |  CHA | 43 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  ATL | 39 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 12 | SAC | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 |  MIL | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 7 |  SA | 48 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | NO | 40 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  MEM | 44 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | MEM | 42 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | DET | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 28 | SAC | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | HOU | 32 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | LAC | 14 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 |  UTAH | 59 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 | PHX | 35 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 10 | SA | 43 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | PHI | 42 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | PHX | 43 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | NO | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DAL | 46 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 25 | LAC | 56 | +16.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | UTAH | 41 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | UTAH | 47 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | MIL | 47 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | NO | 36 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | OKC | 26 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | CHA | 45 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | ATL | 33 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | SA | 48 | +8.5 | Won |
| Nov 2 | MIA | 39 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 31 | MEM | 50 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | MIN | 57 | +17.5 | Won |
| Oct 21 | GS | 52 | +12.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 38.5 pts + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET |  +105at Bovada | 21 of 65· last season32%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.1Not beating its price | |
| Under 39.5 pts + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET |  -115at DraftKings | 24 of 65· last season37%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 40.5 pts + astLuka Doncic · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 27 of 65· last season42%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Luka Doncic in this game
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.