This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 34% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 34% to break even | 27%–86% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 34% to break even | 44%–87% | 36 points betterwon 70%, needs 34% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 34% to break even | 39%–78% | 26 points betterwon 60%, needs 34% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 34% to break even | 0%–73% | 34 points shortwon 0%, needs 34% |
| Last season | 33 of 4672%needs 34% to break even | 60%–81% | 37 points betterwon 72%, needs 34% |
Tonight LAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against under 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 35.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland |
| Every game | 33 of 4770%needs 34% to break even | 58%–80% | 36 points betterwon 70%, needs 34% |
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 30 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 16 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 22 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 30 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 24 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 41 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 13 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 25 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 23 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 22 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 16 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 29 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 16 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 19 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 12 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 10 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 27 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 35 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 26 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 18 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 17 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 6 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 21 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 15 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 8 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 11 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 20 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 8 | +13.5 | Won | |
| -220at BetRivers |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 69% to break even |
| -46.6Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -190at Fanatics | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 66% to break even | -48.8Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -148at BetRivers | 5 of 15· last 15 games33%needs 60% to break even | -44.3Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 48% to break even | -35.2Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at Fanatics | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 50% to break even | -39.0Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +120at Fanatics | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 45% to break even | -35.2Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +138at BetRivers | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 42% to break even | -32.4Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +160at Bovada | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 38% to break even | -29.2Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pointsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +280at Kalshi | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 26% to break even | -18.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +100at Bovada |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even |
| 20.1Very strong |
| Under 37.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 43 of 46· last season93%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 17.3Very strong |
| Under 36.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even | 16.0Very strong |
| Under 31.5 pts + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 38 of 46· last season83%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.4Strong |
| Under 34.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 38 of 46· last season83%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | 8.4Strong |
| Under 27.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 38 of 46· last season83%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 7.4Good |
| Under 28.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 41 of 46· last season89%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.6Good |
| Under 32.5 pts + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at Bovada | 39 of 46· last season85%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | 4.7Good |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 36 of 46· last season78%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 3.1Good |
| Under 29.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 41 of 46· last season89%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | 2.8Slight |
| Under 2.5 reboundsDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 29 of 46· last season63%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | 1.4Slight |
| Under 33.5 pts + astDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at Bovada | 39 of 46· last season85%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.7Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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