This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 48% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 48% to break even | 44%–95% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 48% to break even | 54%–93% | 32 points betterwon 80%, needs 48% |
| Last 15 games | 11 of 1573%needs 48% to break even | 52%–87% | 26 points betterwon 73%, needs 48% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 48% to break even | 0%–73% | 48 points shortwon 0%, needs 48% |
| Last season | 38 of 4683%needs 48% to break even | 72%–90% | 35 points betterwon 83%, needs 48% |
| Every game | 38 of 4781%needs 48% to break even | 70%–89% | 33 points betterwon 81%, needs 48% |
Tonight LAC plays on the road, as the underdog, after a win, against LAL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 27.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 27.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 15 | 26 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Apr 10 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 13 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 30 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 44 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 27 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 9 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 7 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 4 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 2 | 14 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 23 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 12 | 25 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 10 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 8 | 17 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 18 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 12 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 11 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Dec 22 | 31 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 37 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 28 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 21 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 8 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 24 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 20 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 9 | +18.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 16 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 22 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 10 | +17.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 4 of 15· last 15 games27%needs 59% to break even | -45.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 28.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | -109at BetRivers | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 52% to break even | -41.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 29.5 pts + rebDarius Garland · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at FanDuel | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 48% to break even | -37.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.