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NBAGame lineTeam total
Under 122.5 (team total)
Won65 of 88last season · 74%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game65 of 89this season and last
Trend score-1.9Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 62% to break even | 65%–98% | 28 points betterwon 90%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 62% to break even | 59%–92% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 62% to break even | 0%–73% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 65 of 8874%needs 62% to break even | 66%–81% | 12 points betterwon 74%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 65 of 8973%needs 62% to break even | 65%–80% | 11 points betterwon 73%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Under 122.5 (team total)1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
POR points in each game against under 122.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | POR points | Beat 122.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  PHX | 124 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 |  SA | 95 | +27.5 | Won |
| Apr 26 | SA | 93 | +29.5 | Won |
| Apr 24 | SA | 108 | +14.5 | Won |
| Apr 21 | SA | 106 | +16.5 | Won |
| Apr 19 | SA | 98 | +24.5 | Won |
| Apr 14 | PHX | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 12 |  SAC | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  LAC | 116 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 | SA | 101 | +21.5 | Won |
| Apr 6 |  DEN | 132 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  NO | 118 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 31 | LAC | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 29 |  WSH | 123 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 27 |  DAL | 93 | +29.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 |  MIL | 130 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 23 |  BKN | 134 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 | DEN | 112 | +10.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  MIN | 108 | +14.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  IND | 127 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 16 | BKN | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  PHI | 103 | +19.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  UTAH | 124 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  CHA | 101 | +21.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | IND | 131 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 6 |  HOU | 99 | +23.5 | Won |
| Mar 4 |  MEM | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 |  ATL | 101 | +21.5 | Won |
| Feb 28 | CHA | 93 | +29.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 |  CHI | 121 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | MIN | 121 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 22 | PHX | 92 | +30.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 | DEN | 103 | +19.5 | Won |
| Feb 12 | UTAH | 135 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | MIN | 109 | +13.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 | PHI | 135 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 7 | MEM | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 | MEM | 135 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 3 | PHX | 125 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 1 |  CLE | 111 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 30 |  NY | 97 | +25.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | WSH | 111 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 |  BOS | 94 | +28.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 |  TOR | 98 | +24.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  MIA | 127 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 | SAC | 117 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 17 |  LAL | 132 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | ATL | 117 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  GS | 97 | +25.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | NY | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 9 | HOU | 111 | +11.5 | Won |
| Jan 7 | HOU | 103 | +19.5 | Won |
| Jan 5 | UTAH | 137 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | SA | 115 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | NO | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 |  OKC | 95 | +27.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | DAL | 125 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Dec 28 | BOS | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | LAC | 103 | +19.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  ORL | 106 | +16.5 | Won |
| Dec 22 |  DET | 102 | +20.5 | Won |
| Dec 20 | SAC | 98 | +24.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | SAC | 134 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | GS | 136 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 11 | NO | 120 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 7 | MEM | 96 | +26.5 | Won |
| Dec 5 | DET | 116 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 | CLE | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | TOR | 118 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | OKC | 115 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | SA | 102 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | MIL | 115 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 23 | OKC | 95 | +27.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | GS | 127 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | CHI | 121 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 18 | PHX | 110 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | DAL | 133 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | HOU | 116 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | NO | 125 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | ORL | 112 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 8 | MIA | 131 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 | OKC | 121 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | LAL | 115 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 31 | DEN | 109 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | UTAH | 136 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | LAL | 122 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | LAC | 107 | +15.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | GS | 139 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | MIN | 114 | +8.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 116.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |  -199at Kalshi | 38 of 88· last season43%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -47.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 118.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -137at Kalshi | 34 of 88· last season39%needs 58% to break even | Record is last season's | -41.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 120.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -107at Kalshi | 33 of 88· last season38%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -36.2Not beating its price | |
| Over 122.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 23 of 88· last season26%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 124.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +181at Kalshi | 21 of 88· last season24%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Portland Trail Blazers in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.