This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 43% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 43% to break even | 5%–56% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 43% to break even | 2%–35% | 33 points shortwon 10%, needs 43% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 43% to break even | 8%–41% | 23 points shortwon 20%, needs 43% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 43% to break even | 27%–100% | 57 points betterwon 100%, needs 43% |
| Last season | 23 of 8826%needs 43% to break even | 19%–34% | 17 points shortwon 26%, needs 43% |
| Every game | 24 of 8927%needs 43% to break even | 20%–35% | 16 points shortwon 27%, needs 43% |
Tonight POR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against SAC. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
POR points in each game against over 122.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 116.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
This team's other lines in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 228.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET |
| Date | Opponent | POR points | Beat 122.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 124 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 28 | 95 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 93 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 24 | 108 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 21 | 106 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 19 | 98 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 14 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | 116 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 8 | 101 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 6 | 132 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | 118 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 123 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 93 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 130 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 134 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 112 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 108 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 127 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 103 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 124 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 101 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 131 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | 99 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 4 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 101 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 93 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 92 | -30.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 103 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 12 | 135 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 109 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 135 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 7 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 135 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 125 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 111 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 97 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 111 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 26 | 94 | -28.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 98 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 127 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 117 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 132 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 15 | 117 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 97 | -25.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 111 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 103 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 137 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Jan 3 | 115 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 95 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | 125 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 103 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 106 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 102 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 98 | -24.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 134 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 136 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 120 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 7 | 96 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 116 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 118 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 115 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 102 | -20.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 115 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 95 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 127 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 18 | 110 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 133 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 116 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 125 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 112 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 131 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 121 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 115 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 109 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 136 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 122 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 107 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 139 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 114 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 41% to break even |
| 7.2Good |
| Under 118.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +109at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 48% to break even | 3.3Good |
| Under 120.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 54% to break even | -2.0Not beating its price |
| Under 122.5 team totalPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 65 of 88· last season74%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 43% to break even |
| 15.8Very strong |
| Under 232.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -105at FanDuel | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 51% to break even | 15.3Very strong |
| Under 224.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +189at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 35% to break even | 13.6Strong |
| Under 229.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +116at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 46% to break even | 12.7Strong |
| Under 230.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +112at Polymarket | 13 of 15· last 15 games87%needs 47% to break even | 12.1Strong |
| Under 234.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even | 10.6Strong |
| Under 226.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +159at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 39% to break even | 10.2Strong |
| Under 227.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | +143at Polymarket | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 41% to break even | 8.3Strong |
| Under 235.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -145at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even | 7.3Good |
| Under 236.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -161at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | 5.6Good |
| Under 237.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -179at Polymarket | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 4.5Good |
| Under 238.5 game total, POR gamesPortland Trail Blazers · Tomorrow 10:10 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 67% to break even | 3.9Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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