This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 51% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 51% to break even | 27%–86% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 51% to break even | 35%–81% | 9 points betterwon 60%, needs 51% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 51% to break even | 33%–72% | 2 points betterwon 53%, needs 51% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 51% to break even | 27%–100% | 49 points betterwon 100%, needs 51% |
| Last season | 11 of 2348%needs 51% to break even | 32%–64% | 3 points shortwon 48%, needs 51% |
| Every game | 12 of 2450%needs 51% to break even | 34%–66% | 1 points shortwon 50%, needs 51% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 6.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 6.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 25 | 1 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 2 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 10 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 30 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 2 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 7 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 5 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 12 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 13 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 11 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 16 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 6 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | -220at Bovada | 13 of 23· last season57%needs 69% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.6Not beating its price | |
| Over 6.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | -125at DraftKings | 12 of 23· last season52%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -25.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 7.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 11 of 23· last season48%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -17.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 8.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +168at BetOnline | 10 of 23· last season43%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.