This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 44% to break even | 27%–86% | 16 points betterwon 60%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 44% to break even | 44%–87% | 26 points betterwon 70%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 44% to break even | 33%–72% | 9 points betterwon 53%, needs 44% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 44% to break even | 27%–100% | 56 points betterwon 100%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 2343%needs 44% to break even | 28%–60% | 1 points shortwon 43%, needs 44% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 12.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 12.5 pts + astKeegan Murray |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes double-doubleKeegan Murray |
| Every game | 11 of 2446%needs 44% to break even | 30%–62% | 1 points betterwon 46%, needs 44% |
| 2 |
| +10.5 |
| Won |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 25 | 3 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Feb 23 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 21 | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Feb 19 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 2 | 25 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 1 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 30 | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | 3 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 26 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Dec 20 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 19 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 | 11 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 11 | 16 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | 10 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Dec 3 | 6 | +6.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | 13 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 28 | 26 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | 22 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | 28 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | 20 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Nov 20 | 12 | +0.5 | Won |
| -165at Bovada |
| 13 of 23· last season57%needs 62% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -31.9Not beating its price |
| Over 13.5 pts + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | -120at Bovada | 12 of 23· last season52%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.3Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pts + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +108at DraftKings | 12 of 23· last season52%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -20.9Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +1360at DraftKings |
| 2 of 23· last season9%needs 7% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 5.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 38% to break even | -5.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 53% to break even | -7.3Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pts + rebKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 43% to break even | -10.5Not beating its price |
| Over 14.5 pointsKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +176at FanDuel | 12 of 23· last season52%needs 36% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pts + reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 45% to break even | -11.4Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 pointsKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +185at Bovada | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 35% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pts + reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +150at Bovada | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 40% to break even | -11.7Not beating its price |
| Under 4.5 reboundsKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at DraftKings | 6 of 10· last 10 games60%needs 47% to break even | -12.4Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pts + rebKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 49% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pts + rebKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +149at DraftKings | 12 of 23· last season52%needs 40% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
| Over 8.5 reb + astKeegan Murray · Today 10:10 PM ET | +168at BetOnline | 10 of 23· last season43%needs 37% to break even | Record is last season's | -14.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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