This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 56% to break even | 54%–93% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 56% to break even | 59%–92% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 56% to break even | 0%–73% | 56 points shortwon 0%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 16 of 1984%needs 56% to break even | 66%–94% | 28 points betterwon 84%, needs 56% |
| Every game | 16 of 2080%needs 56% to break even | 62%–91% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Reb + ast in each game against under 19.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Reb + ast | Beat 19.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 26 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 4 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 15 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 20 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 10 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 11 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 18 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 14 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 7 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 12 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 16 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 22 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 19 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 21 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 17 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 13 | +6.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 17.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -175at DraftKings | 3 of 5· last 5 games60%needs 64% to break even | -31.5Not beating its price | ||
| Over 18.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 2 of 5· last 5 games40%needs 57% to break even | -34.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 19.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +106at FanDuel | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 49% to break even | -33.4Not beating its price | ||
| Over 20.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +124at BetOnline | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 45% to break even | -30.3Not beating its price | ||
| Over 21.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +165at DraftKings | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 38% to break even | -25.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.