This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 56% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 56% to break even | 44%–95% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 56% to break even | 54%–93% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 56% to break even | 59%–92% | 24 points betterwon 80%, needs 56% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 56% to break even | 27%–100% | 44 points betterwon 100%, needs 56% |
| Last season | 14 of 1974%needs 56% to break even | 55%–87% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 23.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 22 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 4 | ||||
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 21.5 pts + astDomantas Sabonis |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 14.5 pointsDomantas Sabonis |
| Every game | 15 of 2075%needs 56% to break even | 57%–87% | 19 points betterwon 75%, needs 56% |
| 27 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Jan 29 | 17 | +6.5 | Won |
| Jan 27 | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | 20 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 23 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | 9 | +14.5 | Won |
| Jan 18 | 10 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 16 | 22 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | 37 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Nov 12 | 14 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 11 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | 23 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | 18 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | 30 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 28 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 13 | +10.5 | Won |
| -160at Bovada |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 62% to break even |
| -31.3Not beating its price |
| Over 22.5 pts + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at FanDuel | 7 of 19· last season37%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.9Not beating its price |
| Over 23.5 pts + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at DraftKings | 5 of 19· last season26%needs 51% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.2Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at DraftKings | 4 of 19· last season21%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +146at Kalshi |
| 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 41% to break even |
| 0.7Slight |
| Under 19.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -128at DraftKings | 16 of 19· last season84%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | 0.4Slight |
| Under 5.5 assistsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +134at Kalshi | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -1.3Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at FanDuel | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 47% to break even | -4.0Not beating its price |
| Under 35.5 pts + reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 14 of 19· last season74%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 36.5 pts + reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 11 of 19· last season58%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.9Not beating its price |
| Under 13.5 pointsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +190at Bovada | 10 of 19· last season53%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -6.2Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 assistsDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -147at DraftKings | 17 of 19· last season89%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Under 37.5 pts + reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 15 of 19· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 reb + astDomantas Sabonis · Today 10:10 PM ET | +135at Bovada | 12 of 19· last season63%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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