This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 57% to break even | 27%–86% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 57% to break even | 54%–93% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 57% to break even | 59%–92% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 57% to break even | 0%–73% | 57 points shortwon 0%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 24 of 3962%needs 57% to break even | 48%–73% | 5 points betterwon 62%, needs 57% |
Tonight SAC plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against POR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against under 26.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 21.5 pts + rebZach LaVine |
| Every game | 24 of 4060%needs 57% to break even | 47%–72% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 26.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 36 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Feb 6 | 12 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 12 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 43 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 22 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 10 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 18 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 31 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 12 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 27 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 12 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | 21 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 48 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 3 | 4 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Nov 30 | 25 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 42 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | 17 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 11 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 20 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 20 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 14 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 13 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 34 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 19 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 9 | 32 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 13 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 37 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 36 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 30 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 36 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 34 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 33 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| -179at BetOnline |
| 20 of 39· last season51%needs 64% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -35.8Not beating its price |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -126at Kalshi | 17 of 39· last season44%needs 56% to break even | Record is last season's | -34.2Not beating its price |
| Over 25.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -114at FanDuel | 15 of 39· last season38%needs 53% to break even | Record is last season's | -35.6Not beating its price |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +100at Bovada | 15 of 39· last season38%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -32.6Not beating its price |
| Over 27.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +120at Bovada | 13 of 39· last season33%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.5Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +190at FanDuel | 13 of 39· last season33%needs 34% to break even | Record is last season's | -19.8Not beating its price |
| Over 31.5 pts + reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +184at BetOnline | 10 of 39· last season26%needs 35% to break even | Record is last season's | -22.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +120at Bovada |
| 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 45% to break even |
| 0.7Slight |
| Under 2.5 reboundsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +155at Bovada | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 39% to break even | -2.8Not beating its price |
| Under 6.5 reb + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 31 of 39· last season79%needs 60% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -115at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 53% to break even | -3.6Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pts + rebZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -105at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 51% to break even | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pts + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +130at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 43% to break even | -4.7Not beating its price |
| Under 23.5 pts + rebZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -130at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 57% to break even | -5.7Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 48% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pointsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 59% to break even | -7.5Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pts + astZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 10 of 15· last 15 games67%needs 49% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 assistsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +198at Kalshi | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 34% to break even | -10.1Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsZach LaVine · Today 10:10 PM ET | +140at Bovada | 18 of 39· last season46%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -11.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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