This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 33% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 33% to break even | 0%–35% | 33 points shortwon 0%, needs 33% |
| Last 10 games | 2 of 1020%needs 33% to break even | 7%–46% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 33% to break even | 8%–41% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 33% to break even | 0%–73% | 33 points shortwon 0%, needs 33% |
| Last season | 3 of 1520%needs 33% to break even | 8%–41% | 13 points shortwon 20%, needs 33% |
| Every game | 3 of 16 |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Points in each game against over 23.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 15.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 reb + astTrae Young |
| 8%–39% |
| 15 points shortwon 19%, needs 33% |
| 11 |
| -12.5 |
| Lost |
| Mar 12 | 15 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | 12 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 9 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 26 | 30 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 35 | +11.5 | Won |
| Dec 18 | 8 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | 6 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | 21 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 15 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | 25 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost |
| +205at Bovada |
| 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even |
| -7.6Not beating its price |
| Under 16.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +160at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 38% to break even | -11.9Not beating its price |
| Under 17.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at Bovada | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 44% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price |
| Under 18.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +104at BetOnline | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 49% to break even | -14.2Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -112at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 53% to break even | -17.1Not beating its price |
| Under 20.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -160at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 62% to break even | -18.4Not beating its price |
| Under 21.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -190at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 66% to break even | -11.5Not beating its price |
| Under 22.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -245at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 71% to break even | -9.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +165at Bovada |
| 10 of 15· last season67%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.8Slight |
| Under 8.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +165at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +130at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -135at Bovada | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 27.5 pts + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +120at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 45% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.9Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -165at Bovada | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +165at Bovada | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -150at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 28.5 pts + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -7.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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