This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 62% to break even | 44%–95% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 8 of 1080%needs 62% to break even | 54%–93% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 62% to break even | 59%–92% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 62% to break even | 0%–73% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 13 of 1587%needs 62% to break even | 67%–95% | 24 points betterwon 87%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 13 of 1681%needs 62% to break even | 61%–92% | 19 points betterwon 81%, needs 62% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 10.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 10.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 13 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 16 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 14 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 12 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 8 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 15 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 9 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 1 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 17 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 5 | +5.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 8.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -220at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 69% to break even | -37.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -121at Kalshi | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 55% to break even | -30.2Not beating its price | ||
| Over 10.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at Bovada | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 44% to break even | -29.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 11.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +200at Bovada | 3 of 15· last 15 games20%needs 33% to break even | -20.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.