This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 50% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 50% to break even | 44%–95% | 30 points betterwon 80%, needs 50% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 50% to break even | 35%–81% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 50% to break even | 39%–78% | 10 points betterwon 60%, needs 50% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 50% to break even | 0%–73% | 50 points shortwon 0%, needs 50% |
| Last season | 10 of 1567%needs 50% to break even | 46%–83% | 17 points betterwon 67%, needs 50% |
| Every game |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 28.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 27.5 pts + astTrae Young |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 10.5 reb + astTrae Young |
| 42%–79% |
| 13 points betterwon 63%, needs 50% |
| 17 |
| +11.5 |
| Won |
| Mar 12 | 21 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 8 | 25 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 | 18 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 | 19 | +9.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | 36 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | 37 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 | 44 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 18 | +10.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | 7 | +21.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | 38 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | 25 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 31 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 27 | +1.5 | Won |
| -160at Bovada |
| 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 62% to break even |
| -33.8Not beating its price |
| Over 28.5 pts + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -130at Bovada | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 57% to break even | -30.0Not beating its price |
| Over 29.5 pts + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -108at FanDuel | 6 of 15· last 15 games40%needs 52% to break even | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +165at Bovada |
| 10 of 15· last season67%needs 38% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| 1.8Slight |
| Under 8.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +165at Bovada | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 38% to break even | -0.5Not beating its price |
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +130at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.4Not beating its price |
| Under 9.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at FanDuel | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Under 11.5 reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price |
| Under 12.5 reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -135at Bovada | 12 of 15· last season80%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.5Not beating its price |
| Under 10.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -165at Bovada | 13 of 15· last season87%needs 62% to break even | Record is last season's | -4.3Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +165at Bovada | 9 of 15· last 15 games60%needs 38% to break even | -5.0Not beating its price |
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -150at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
| Under 15.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +205at Bovada | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 33% to break even | -7.6Not beating its price |
| Under 31.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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