This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 52% to break even | 14%–73% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 5 of 1533%needs 52% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 52% to break even | 0%–73% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 7 of 2035%needs 52% to break even | 20%–53% | 17 points shortwon 35%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 7 of 2133%needs 52% to break even | 19%–51% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 52% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb in each game against under 32.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb | Beat 32.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 46 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Jan 8 | 32 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 6 | 35 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 38 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 1 | 21 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 6 | +26.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 40 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 52 | -19.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 39 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 29 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 38 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 37 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 5 | 10 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Dec 3 | 34 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 45 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 17 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 8 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 37 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 35 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 40 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 35 | -2.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 29.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -200at DraftKings | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 67% to break even | -15.0Not beating its price | ||
| Over 31.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -145at Bovada | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 59% to break even | -8.9Not beating its price | ||
| Over 32.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -120at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -12.1Not beating its price | |
| Over 33.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +100at Bovada | 13 of 20· last season65%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.5Not beating its price | |
| Over 34.5 pts + rebAnthony Davis · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +114at DraftKings | 12 of 20· last season60%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -8.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.