This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 53% to break even | 5%–56% | 33 points shortwon 20%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 53% to break even | 19%–65% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 53% to break even | 22%–61% | 13 points shortwon 40%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 5 of 1533%needs 53% to break even | 17%–54% | 19 points shortwon 33%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 6 of 1638%needs 53% to break even | 21%–58% | 15 points shortwon 38%, needs 53% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + reb + ast in each game against over 31.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + reb + ast | Beat 31.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 33 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 16 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 14 | 21 | -10.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 12 | 24 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 20 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | 19 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 38 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 38 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 45 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 19 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 8 | -23.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 41 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Oct 25 | 29 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 32 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 28 | -3.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 29.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +130at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 43% to break even | Record is last season's | -2.4Not beating its price | |
| Under 30.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +110at Bovada | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | -5.6Not beating its price | |
| Under 31.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -109at DraftKings | 10 of 15· last season67%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.0Not beating its price | |
| Under 32.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -130at Bovada | 11 of 15· last season73%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -9.8Not beating its price | |
| Under 33.5 pts + reb + astTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -150at Bovada | 5 of 5· last 5 games100%needs 60% to break even | -6.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.