This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 47% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 47% to break even | 5%–56% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 47% to break even | 2%–35% | 37 points shortwon 10%, needs 47% |
| Last 15 games | 3 of 1520%needs 47% to break even | 8%–41% | 27 points shortwon 20%, needs 47% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 47% to break even | 0%–73% | 47 points shortwon 0%, needs 47% |
| Last season | 23 of 6436%needs 47% to break even | 27%–46% | 11 points shortwon 36%, needs 47% |
| Every game | 23 of 65 |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against under 20.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 23.5 pts + rebR.J. Barrett |
| 26%–46% |
| 11 points shortwon 35%, needs 47% |
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 20.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| May 1 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 29 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 26 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 23 | 38 | -17.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 18 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 12 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 9 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 18 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 1 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 31 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 23 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 20 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 34 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 24 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 25 | 15 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 10 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 25 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 7 | 29 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 5 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 20 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 28 | 16 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 26 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 13 | 13 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Nov 11 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 28 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 23 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 4 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 2 | 33 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 14 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 27 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 19 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 22 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 30 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| -178at DraftKings |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 64% to break even |
| -5.6Not beating its price |
| Over 20.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -150at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 60% to break even | -2.9Not beating its price |
| Over 21.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -115at DraftKings | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 53% to break even | 2.5Slight |
| Over 22.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 49% to break even | 5.8Good |
| Over 24.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +160at DraftKings | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 38% to break even | 6.8Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -108at FanDuel |
| 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 52% to break even |
| 15.4Very strong |
| Over 26.5 pts + reb + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -118at FanDuel | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 54% to break even | 11.5Strong |
| Over 22.5 pts + rebR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even | 10.8Strong |
| Over 19.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +124at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 45% to break even | 9.7Strong |
| Over 17.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 57% to break even | 8.7Strong |
| Over 24.5 pts + rebR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +116at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 46% to break even | 7.8Good |
| Over 25.5 pts + reb + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | 7.6Good |
| Over 24.5 pts + reb + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -182at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | 5.8Good |
| Over 21.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +175at Bovada | 8 of 10· last 10 games80%needs 36% to break even | 5.3Good |
| Over 18.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -104at FanDuel | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 51% to break even | 4.5Good |
| Over 16.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -180at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 64% to break even | 3.1Good |
| Over 15.5 pointsR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -230at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 70% to break even | 2.9Slight |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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