This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 53% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 53% to break even | 44%–95% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 53% to break even | 65%–98% | 37 points betterwon 90%, needs 53% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 53% to break even | 59%–92% | 27 points betterwon 80%, needs 53% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 53% to break even | 27%–100% | 47 points betterwon 100%, needs 53% |
| Last season | 39 of 6461%needs 53% to break even | 51%–70% | 7 points betterwon 61%, needs 53% |
| Every game | 40 of 6562%needs 53% to break even | 51%–71% | 8 points betterwon 62%, needs 53% |
Tonight TOR plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against WSH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Pts + ast in each game against over 21.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Pts + ast | Beat 21.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 23 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 3 | 29 | +7.5 | Won | |
| May 1 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 29 | 30 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Apr 26 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 38 | +16.5 | Won | |
| Apr 20 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Apr 12 | 28 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Apr 9 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 18 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 3 | 29 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Apr 1 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 31 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 22 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 25 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 23 | 33 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Mar 22 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 15 | 29 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 10 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 34 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 23 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 24 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 25 | 15 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 10 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 25 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 28 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 23 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | 29 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 5 | 21 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 30 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Dec 31 | 20 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 28 | 16 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 23 | 17 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 28 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 17 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 15 | 26 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 13 | 13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 11 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 28 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 7 | 23 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 33 | +11.5 | Won | |
| Oct 31 | 22 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | 14 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | 27 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 19 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 22 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 30 | +8.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 20.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | +115at Bovada | 23 of 64· last season36%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -33.7Not beating its price | |
| Under 21.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -110at Bovada | 25 of 64· last season39%needs 52% to break even | Record is last season's | -38.5Not beating its price | |
| Under 22.5 pts + astR.J. Barrett · Today 7:10 PM ET | -135at Bovada | 28 of 64· last season44%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -42.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.