This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 58% to break even | 5%–56% | 38 points shortwon 20%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 3 of 1030%needs 58% to break even | 13%–56% | 28 points shortwon 30%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 58% to break even | 22%–61% | 18 points shortwon 40%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 5 of 1533%needs 58% to break even | 17%–54% | 24 points shortwon 33%, needs 58% |
| Every game |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 assistsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 threesTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ET |
| 21%–58% |
| 20 points shortwon 38%, needs 58% |
| 6 |
| -3.5 |
| Lost |
| Mar 12 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Mar 8 | 8 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 27 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 26 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 | 15 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | 9 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 18 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | 1 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | 17 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 25 | 10 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | 5 | -4.5 | Lost |
| +101at Kalshi |
| 10 of 15· last season67%needs 50% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -5.2Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| -191at Kalshi |
| 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 66% to break even |
| -17.4Not beating its price |
| Under 19.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -116at Kalshi | 8 of 15· last 15 games53%needs 54% to break even | -17.8Not beating its price |
| Over 19.5 pointsTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -101at Polymarket | 7 of 15· last 15 games47%needs 50% to break even | -19.2Not beating its price |
| Over 2.5 threesTrae Young · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +140at Kalshi | 4 of 10· last 10 games40%needs 42% to break even | -20.4Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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