This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 44% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 44% to break even | 44%–95% | 36 points betterwon 80%, needs 44% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 44% to break even | 27%–73% | 6 points betterwon 50%, needs 44% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 44% to break even | 22%–61% | 4 points shortwon 40%, needs 44% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 44% to break even | 0%–73% | 44 points shortwon 0%, needs 44% |
| Last season | 10 of 4821%needs 44% to break even | 13%–32% | 24 points shortwon 21%, needs 44% |
| Every game | 10 of 4920%needs 44% to break even | 13%–31% | 24 points shortwon 20%, needs 44% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against under 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 2 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 24 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 22 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 19 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 17 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 2 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 1 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | 9 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 30 | 6 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 28 | 7 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 2.5 assistsKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -133at MyBookie | 38 of 48· last season79%needs 57% to break even | Record is last season's | -18.9Not beating its price | |
| Over 3.5 assistsKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +159at Kalshi | 29 of 48· last season60%needs 39% to break even | Record is last season's | -21.3Not beating its price | |
| Over 4.5 assistsKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +315at Bovada | 23 of 48· last season48%needs 24% to break even | Record is last season's | -10.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.