This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 57% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 57% to break even | 5%–56% | 37 points shortwon 20%, needs 57% |
| Last 10 games | 5 of 1050%needs 57% to break even | 27%–73% | 7 points shortwon 50%, needs 57% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 57% to break even | 39%–78% | 3 points betterwon 60%, needs 57% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 57% to break even | 27%–100% | 43 points betterwon 100%, needs 57% |
| Last season | 38 of 4879%needs 57% to break even | 68%–87% | 22 points betterwon 79%, needs 57% |
| Every game | 39 of 4980%needs 57% to break even | 69%–87% | 23 points betterwon 80%, needs 57% |
Tonight WSH plays at home, as the underdog, after a win, against TOR. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Assists in each game against over 2.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Assists | Beat 2.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Mar 2 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 22 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 19 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 3 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 1 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 29 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 24 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 19 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Jan 17 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 11 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 9 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 23 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 21 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Dec 12 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 1 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 28 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 21 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Nov 16 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 9 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 3 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 2 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 1 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 30 | 6 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Oct 28 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 5 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 4 | +1.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 2.5 assistsKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | +125at BetMGM | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -17.5Not beating its price | ||
| Under 3.5 assistsKyshawn George · Today 7:10 PM ETWithout Dybantsa | -191at Kalshi | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 66% to break even | -8.1Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.