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NBAGame lineSpread
MIN -3.5 (spread)
Won48 of 94last season · 51%
Best price+121Polymarket
Price needs45.2%wins to break even
Every game49 of 95this season and last
Trend score-16.3Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 45% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 45% to break even | 14%–73% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 45% to break even | 19%–65% | 5 points shortwon 40%, needs 45% |
| Last 15 games | 8 of 1553%needs 45% to break even | 33%–72% | 8 points betterwon 53%, needs 45% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 45% to break even | 27%–100% | 55 points betterwon 100%, needs 45% |
| Last season | 48 of 9451%needs 45% to break even | 43%–59% | 6 points betterwon 51%, needs 45% |
| Every game | 49 of 9552%needs 45% to break even | 43%–60% | 6 points betterwon 52%, needs 45% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
MIN -3.5 (spread)3 books
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Margin in each game against min -3.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat 3.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIA | 25 | +21.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | -30 | -33.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | SA | -29 | -32.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | SA | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 8 | SA | -7 | -10.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | -38 | -41.5 | Lost |
| May 4 | SA | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | DEN | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | -11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  NO | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  HOU | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  IND | 20 | +16.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  CHA | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  PHI | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Apr 2 |  DET | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 30 |  DAL | 30 | +26.5 | Won |
| Mar 28 | DET | -22 | -25.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 | HOU | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  POR | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  UTAH | 36 | +32.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | -13 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | -25 | -28.5 | Lost |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | -14 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Mar 7 | ORL | -27 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 8 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 6 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | POR | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 | PHI | -27 | -30.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | DAL | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | POR | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 22 | +18.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | LAC | -19 | -22.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 | NO | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 2 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MEM | -9 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 12 | +8.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | GS | 25 | +21.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | GS | -26 | -29.5 | Lost |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | UTAH | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | SA | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | HOU | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 33 | +29.5 | Won |
| Jan 11 | SA | 1 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | -12 | -15.5 | Lost |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MIA | 28 | +24.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 26 | +22.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 10 | +6.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | ATL | -24 | -27.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 35 | +31.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  BKN | -16 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Dec 25 | DEN | -4 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Dec 23 |  NY | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 5 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | -6 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | GS | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | PHX | -3 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 3 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | NO | 9 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | NO | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | SA | 13 | +9.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | OKC | -8 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | SAC | -5 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | PHX | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | WSH | 11 | +7.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 24 | +20.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DEN | -11 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 14 | +10.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 7 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 27 | +23.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 40 | +36.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NY | -23 | -26.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 16 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 | CHA | 17 | +13.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | LAL | -1 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | DEN | -13 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Oct 26 | IND | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | LAL | -18 | -21.5 | Lost |
| Oct 22 | POR | 4 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Minnesota Timberwolves in this game
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.