This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 6 of 1060%needs 52% to break even | 35%–81% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 52% to break even | 39%–78% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 52% to break even | 0%–73% | 52 points shortwon 0%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 40 of 8845%needs 52% to break even | 37%–54% | 6 points shortwon 45%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 40 of 8945%needs 52% to break even | 37%–54% | 7 points shortwon 45%, needs 52% |
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Rebounds in each game against under 11.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 11.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 | 3 | +8.5 | Won | |
| May 12 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| May 10 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| May 8 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| May 6 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| May 4 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 30 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 27 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 25 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 23 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 20 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Apr 18 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 7 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 5 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 30 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 28 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 25 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 22 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 20 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 18 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 17 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 15 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Mar 10 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 7 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 3 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 26 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 24 | 19 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 20 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Feb 8 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 4 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 2 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 31 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 29 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 28 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Jan 26 | 17 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Jan 22 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 20 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 16 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 10 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 8 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 3 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 11 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 10 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 25 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 21 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 19 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 17 | 16 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 14 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 12 | 14 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 13 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 15 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 8 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 9 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 7 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 9 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 3 | 12 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 1 | 15 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 5 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Oct 26 | 18 | -6.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | 7 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 6 | +5.5 | Won | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 11.5 reboundsRudy Gobert · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 55% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.6Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 9.5 pointsRudy Gobert · Today 7:10 PM ET | -131at Kalshi | 7 of 10· last 10 games70%needs 57% to break even | -17.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 9.5 pointsRudy Gobert · Today 7:10 PM ET | +105at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.