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NBAPlayer propPoints
Rudy Gobert under 9.5 points
Won7 of 10last 10 games · 70%
Best price-137Kalshi
Price needs57.8%wins to break even
Every game41 of 89this season and last
Trend score-18.7Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 58% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 58% to break even | 27%–86% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 58% to break even | 44%–87% | 12 points betterwon 70%, needs 58% |
| Last 15 games | 9 of 1560%needs 58% to break even | 39%–78% | 2 points betterwon 60%, needs 58% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 58% to break even | 27%–100% | 42 points betterwon 100%, needs 58% |
| Last season | 40 of 8845%needs 58% to break even | 37%–54% | 12 points shortwon 45%, needs 58% |
| Every game | 41 of 8946%needs 58% to break even | 38%–55% | 12 points shortwon 46%, needs 58% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Rudy Gobert under 9.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against under 9.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 9.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIA | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | 0 | +9.5 | Won |
| May 12 | SA | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| May 10 | SA | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | SA | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 4 | SA | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | DEN | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 7 |  IND | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 5 |  CHA | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  PHI | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Apr 2 |  DET | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 30 |  DAL | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 28 | DET | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 25 |  HOU | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 20 |  POR | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  UTAH | 21 | -11.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 |  ORL | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 3 | +6.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | POR | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 | DAL | 22 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | POR | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | LAC | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 6 |  NO | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 2 | MEM | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | GS | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | GS | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | UTAH | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 16 | HOU | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | SA | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | MIA | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 18 | -8.5 | Lost |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 13 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Dec 31 | ATL | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  BKN | 6 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 23 |  NY | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 21 |  MIL | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | 16 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | GS | 24 | -14.5 | Lost |
| Dec 8 | PHX | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | NO | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NO | 26 | -16.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | SA | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | OKC | 5 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 24 | SAC | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | PHX | 12 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 19 | WSH | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DEN | 4 | +5.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 11 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 19 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 5 | NY | 7 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 15 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 | CHA | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 9 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 8 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 | IND | 14 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 2 | +7.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | POR | 10 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 9.5 pointsRudy Gobert · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  +105at Kalshi | 48 of 88· last season55%needs 49% to break even | Record is last season's | -23.8Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.