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NBAPlayer propRebounds
Jaden McDaniels under 5.5 rebounds
Won57 of 85last season · 67%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game57 of 86this season and last
Trend score-33.0Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 1 of 520%needs 62% to break even | 5%–56% | 42 points shortwon 20%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 62% to break even | 19%–65% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 6 of 1540%needs 62% to break even | 22%–61% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 62% to break even | 0%–73% | 62 points shortwon 0%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 57 of 8567%needs 62% to break even | 58%–75% | 5 points betterwon 67%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 57 of 8666%needs 62% to break even | 58%–74% | 5 points betterwon 66%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaden McDaniels under 5.5 rebounds1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Rebounds in each game against under 5.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Rebounds | Beat 5.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIA | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| May 12 | SA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | SA | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 8 | SA | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| May 4 | SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 27 | DEN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 10 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  HOU | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | HOU | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  POR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Mar 18 |  UTAH | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | ORL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Feb 24 | POR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  PHI | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 20 |  DAL | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 | POR | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 8 | LAC | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 |  NO | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 | MEM | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Jan 26 | GS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 25 | GS | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 20 | UTAH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | HOU | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | SA | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 6 | MIA | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | ATL | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  BKN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | GS | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | PHX | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 1 | +4.5 | Won |
| Dec 4 | NO | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 2 | NO | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 30 | SA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 26 | OKC | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | SAC | 8 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Nov 21 | PHX | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 15 | DEN | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 6 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 |  NY | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 1 |  CHA | 4 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 7 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 3 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  IND | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 2 | +3.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | POR | 5 | +0.5 | Won |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 5.5 reboundsJaden McDaniels · Today 7:10 PM ET |  +129at Kalshi | 4 of 5· last 5 games80%needs 44% to break even | -7.7Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
More on Jaden McDaniels in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 threesJaden McDaniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | -154at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 61% to break even | -14.1Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesJaden McDaniels · Today 7:10 PM ET | +119at Kalshi | 31 of 85· last season36%needs 46% to break even | Record is last season's | -26.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.