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NBAPlayer propThrees
Jaden McDaniels under 1.5 threes
Won12 of 15last 15 games · 80%
Best price-161Kalshi
Price needs61.7%wins to break even
Every game55 of 86this season and last
Trend score-15.1Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 62% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 2 of 540%needs 62% to break even | 14%–73% | 22 points shortwon 40%, needs 62% |
| Last 10 games | 7 of 1070%needs 62% to break even | 44%–87% | 8 points betterwon 70%, needs 62% |
| Last 15 games | 12 of 1580%needs 62% to break even | 59%–92% | 18 points betterwon 80%, needs 62% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 62% to break even | 27%–100% | 38 points betterwon 100%, needs 62% |
| Last season | 54 of 8564%needs 62% to break even | 55%–72% | 2 points betterwon 64%, needs 62% |
| Every game | 55 of 8664%needs 62% to break even | 55%–72% | 2 points betterwon 64%, needs 62% |
Games like tonight
Tonight MIN plays on the road, as the favorite, after a win, against ORL. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Jaden McDaniels under 1.5 threes1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Threes in each game against under 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  MIA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Last season | ||||
| May 15 |  SA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| May 12 | SA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 10 | SA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 8 | SA | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| May 6 | SA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| May 4 | SA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 30 |  DEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 27 | DEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 25 | DEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 23 | DEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 20 | DEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 18 | DEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 10 |  HOU | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  ORL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 25 | HOU | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 22 |  BOS | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 20 |  POR | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 18 |  UTAH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Mar 17 |  PHX | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 15 |  OKC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 13 |  GS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 11 |  LAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 10 |  LAL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 7 | ORL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 5 |  TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Mar 3 |  MEM | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Mar 1 | DEN | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 26 | LAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 24 | POR | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Feb 22 |  PHI | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 20 |  DAL | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 11 | POR | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 |  ATL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Feb 8 | LAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 6 |  NO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Feb 4 | TOR | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Feb 2 | MEM | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 31 | MEM | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 29 | OKC | 5 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Jan 28 | DAL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 26 | GS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 25 | GS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 22 |  CHI | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 20 | UTAH | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Jan 17 | SA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 16 | HOU | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 13 |  MIL | 4 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Jan 11 | SA | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 10 |  CLE | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 8 | CLE | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Jan 6 | MIA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Jan 4 |  WSH | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Jan 3 | MIA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 31 | ATL | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Dec 29 | CHI | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 27 |  BKN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 25 | DEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 21 | MIL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 19 | OKC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 17 | MEM | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 14 |  SAC | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 12 | GS | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 8 | PHX | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 6 | LAC | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Dec 4 | NO | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Dec 2 | NO | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 30 | SA | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 29 | BOS | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 26 | OKC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 24 | SAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 21 | PHX | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 17 | DAL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 15 | DEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 | SAC | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 | UTAH | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 9 | SAC | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | UTAH | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 5 |  NY | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Nov 3 | BKN | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  CHA | 2 | -0.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | LAL | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | DEN | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 26 |  IND | 1 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 24 | LAL | 0 | +1.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | POR | 3 | -1.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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The opposite bet
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 1.5 threesJaden McDaniels · Tomorrow 7:10 PM ET |  +114at Kalshi | 31 of 85· last season36%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -27.5Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.