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NBAPlayer propPoints
Franz Wagner over 24.5 points
Won11 of 40last season · 28%
Best price+189Kalshi
Price needs34.6%wins to break even
Every game11 of 41this season and last
Trend score-26.2Not beating its price
How often it won
This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 35% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 0 of 50%needs 35% to break even | 0%–35% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last 10 games | 1 of 1010%needs 35% to break even | 2%–35% | 25 points shortwon 10%, needs 35% |
| Last 15 games | 1 of 157%needs 35% to break even | 2%–25% | 28 points shortwon 7%, needs 35% |
| This season | 0 of 10%needs 35% to break even | 0%–73% | 35 points shortwon 0%, needs 35% |
| Last season | 11 of 4028%needs 35% to break even | 18%–40% | 7 points shortwon 28%, needs 35% |
| Every game | 11 of 4127%needs 35% to break even | 17%–39% | 8 points shortwon 27%, needs 35% |
Games like tonight
Tonight ORL plays at home, as the underdog, after a loss, against MIN. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
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Every book's price
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Franz Wagner over 24.5 points1 book
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Every game behind it
Points in each game against over 24.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Points | Beat 24.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 |  ATL | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 27 |  DET | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 25 | DET | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 22 | DET | 12 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 19 | DET | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Apr 17 |  CHA | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 15 |  PHI | 12 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Apr 12 |  BOS | 20 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Apr 10 |  CHI | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Apr 8 |  MIN | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Apr 5 |  NO | 11 | -13.5 | Lost |
| Apr 3 |  DAL | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Apr 1 | ATL | 12 | -12.5 | Lost |
| Feb 11 |  MIL | 5 | -19.5 | Lost |
| Feb 9 | MIL | 14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 18 |  MEM | 14 | -10.5 | Lost |
| Jan 15 | MEM | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Dec 7 |  NY | 7 | -17.5 | Lost |
| Dec 5 |  MIA | 32 | +7.5 | Won |
| Dec 3 |  SA | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Dec 1 | CHI | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 28 | DET | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 25 | PHI | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Nov 23 | BOS | 15 | -9.5 | Lost |
| Nov 22 | NY | 37 | +12.5 | Won |
| Nov 20 |  LAC | 20 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 18 |  GS | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 16 |  HOU | 29 | +4.5 | Won |
| Nov 14 |  BKN | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Nov 12 | NY | 28 | +3.5 | Won |
| Nov 10 |  POR | 19 | -5.5 | Lost |
| Nov 9 | BOS | 20 | -4.5 | Lost |
| Nov 7 | BOS | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Nov 4 | ATL | 18 | -6.5 | Lost |
| Nov 1 |  WSH | 25 | +0.5 | Won |
| Oct 30 | CHA | 21 | -3.5 | Lost |
| Oct 29 | DET | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 27 | PHI | 22 | -2.5 | Lost |
| Oct 25 | CHI | 17 | -7.5 | Lost |
| Oct 24 | ATL | 27 | +2.5 | Won |
| Oct 22 | MIA | 24 | -0.5 | Lost |
Every number on this bet
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
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More on Franz Wagner in this game
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 5.5 assistsFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET |  -168at Kalshi | 32 of 40· last season80%needs 63% to break even | Record is last season's | -3.2Not beating its price | |
| Under 5.5 reboundsFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET | -121at Kalshi | 12 of 15· last 15 games80%needs 55% to break even | -8.6Not beating its price | ||
| Under 1.5 threesFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET | -148at Kalshi | 11 of 15· last 15 games73%needs 60% to break even | -10.7Not beating its price | ||
| Over 1.5 threesFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET | +114at Kalshi | 15 of 40· last season38%needs 47% to break even | Record is last season's | -28.8Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 reboundsFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET | +101at Kalshi | 18 of 40· last season45%needs 50% to break even | Record is last season's | -29.7Not beating its price | |
| Over 5.5 assistsFranz Wagner · Today 7:10 PM ET | +140at Kalshi | 8 of 40· last season20%needs 42% to break even | Record is last season's | -31.0Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.