This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 52% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 3 of 560%needs 52% to break even | 27%–86% | 8 points betterwon 60%, needs 52% |
| Last 10 games | 4 of 1040%needs 52% to break even | 19%–65% | 12 points shortwon 40%, needs 52% |
| Last 15 games | 7 of 1547%needs 52% to break even | 28%–67% | 6 points shortwon 47%, needs 52% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 52% to break even | 27%–100% | 48 points betterwon 100%, needs 52% |
| Last season | 35 of 8243%needs 52% to break even | 34%–52% | 10 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
| Every game | 36 of 8343%needs 52% to break even | 35%–52% | 9 points shortwon 43%, needs 52% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Create a free account to see games like tonight
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Margin in each game against no +4.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
| Date | Opponent | Margin | Beat -4.5 by | Bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | -3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 12 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 10 | -26 | -21.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 7 | 19 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Apr 5 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Apr 2 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 29 | -32 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 27 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 26 | -21 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 24 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 21 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 19 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 15 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 18 | +22.5 | Won | |
| Mar 13 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 11 | 11 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Mar 8 | 20 | +24.5 | Won | |
| Mar 6 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 5 | 10 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 1 | -20 | -15.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 28 | 10 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 11 | +15.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 21 | 15 | +19.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | -21 | -16.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 11 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 9 | 26 | +30.5 | Won | |
| Feb 6 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | -10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 30 | 8 | +12.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 25 | 9 | +13.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 14 | 3 | +7.5 | Won | |
| Jan 13 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 11 | -10 | -5.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 9 | 21 | +25.5 | Won | |
| Jan 7 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 6 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 4 | -19 | -14.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 2 | -13 | -8.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | -16 | -11.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 29 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 27 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | -23 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 6 | +10.5 | Won | |
| Dec 20 | 19 | +23.5 | Won | |
| Dec 18 | 5 | +9.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 10 | +14.5 | Won | |
| Dec 11 | 23 | +27.5 | Won | |
| Dec 8 | -3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 6 | -18 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 4 | -9 | -4.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | -12 | -7.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 29 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 26 | -5 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 24 | 13 | +17.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | -3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 19 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 17 | -17 | -12.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | -18 | -13.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 14 | -14 | -9.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 12 | -8 | -3.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 10 | -23 | -18.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 8 | -7 | -2.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 5 | 2 | +6.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 4 | +8.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | -31 | -26.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | -2 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Oct 29 | -34 | -29.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 27 | -32 | -27.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 24 | -4 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | -6 | -1.5 | Lost | |
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
Create a free account to see every number on a bet
Free, takes a few seconds. No card needed.
This team's other lines in the game.
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.