This exact bet replayed over each stretch of recent games, against the 38% the best price needs to break even. A short run proves less than a long one: “likely win rate” is the range its true rate probably sits in.
| Games | Record | Likely win rate | Compared with the price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Last 5 games | 4 of 580%needs 38% to break even | 44%–95% | 42 points betterwon 80%, needs 38% |
| Last 10 games | 9 of 1090%needs 38% to break even | 65%–98% | 52 points betterwon 90%, needs 38% |
| Last 15 games | 10 of 1567%needs 38% to break even | 46%–83% | 29 points betterwon 67%, needs 38% |
| This season | 1 of 1100%needs 38% to break even | 27%–100% | 62 points betterwon 100%, needs 38% |
| Last season | 43 of 7260%needs 38% to break even | 50%–69% |
Tonight NO plays on the road, as the underdog, after a loss, against UTAH. Tap any of these to count only past games that looked the same; the record and every number below follow.
Click a price to open the bet at that book, or a book's name below for everywhere it has the best price.
Best price at the top. Each row shows what a winning $100 bet pays compared with it.
Threes in each game against over 1.5, newest first. Ties (pushes) don't count toward the record.
The same bet at other numbers, surest at the top, replayed over the same games. Where a book offers the number, its best price is beside it.
The numbers the books are posting on the other side.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 0.5 threesSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET |
This player's other props in the game.
| Bet | Best price | How often it won | Last 10 games | Trend score | Details |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 14.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET |
| Every game | 44 of 7360%needs 38% to break even | 51%–69% | 22 points betterwon 60%, needs 38% |
| Date | Opponent | Threes | Beat 1.5 by | Bet |
|---|
| This season | ||||
| Oct 21 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Last season | ||||
| Apr 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Apr 3 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Apr 2 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 29 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 27 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 26 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 24 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Mar 19 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 18 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Mar 16 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 13 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 8 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 6 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Mar 5 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Mar 3 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Mar 1 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 28 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 26 | 5 | +3.5 | Won | |
| Feb 24 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 21 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 20 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Feb 11 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 9 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Feb 6 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Feb 4 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Feb 2 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 31 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Jan 30 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 27 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 25 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Jan 23 | 6 | +4.5 | Won | |
| Jan 21 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 18 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Jan 14 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Jan 13 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 31 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 29 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Dec 27 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 26 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 23 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 22 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 20 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 18 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Dec 14 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 11 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 8 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 6 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Dec 4 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Dec 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 30 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 26 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 21 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 19 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Nov 16 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 14 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 12 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 10 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 8 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Nov 5 | 4 | +2.5 | Won | |
| Nov 4 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Nov 2 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 31 | 0 | -1.5 | Lost | |
| Oct 29 | 2 | +0.5 | Won | |
| Oct 27 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 24 | 3 | +1.5 | Won | |
| Oct 22 | 1 | -0.5 | Lost | |
| +215at Bovada |
| 12 of 72· last season17%needs 32% to break even |
| Record is last season's |
| -26.1Not beating its price |
| Under 1.5 threesSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -199at Kalshi | 29 of 72· last season40%needs 67% to break even | Record is last season's | -49.3Not beating its price |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
| +230at FanDuel |
| 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 30% to break even |
| 26.3Very strong |
| Over 12.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +125at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 44% to break even | 23.3Very strong |
| Over 15.5 pts + rebSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 48% to break even | 22.0Very strong |
| Over 15.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +270at Caesars | 47 of 72· last season65%needs 27% to break even | Record is last season's | 20.7Very strong |
| Over 13.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +165at Bovada | 9 of 10· last 10 games90%needs 38% to break even | 19.9Very strong |
| Over 11.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -102at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 50% to break even | 18.3Very strong |
| Over 14.5 pts + rebSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -120at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 55% to break even | 15.8Very strong |
| Over 10.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -145at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 59% to break even | 11.8Strong |
| Over 4.5 reboundsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +205at Bovada | 44 of 72· last season61%needs 33% to break even | Record is last season's | 10.0Strong |
| Over 13.5 pts + rebSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -160at Bovada | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 62% to break even | 9.6Strong |
| Over 9.5 pointsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | -184at DraftKings | 10 of 10· last 10 games100%needs 65% to break even | 7.3Good |
| Over 3.5 reboundsSaddiq Bey · Today 9:40 PM ET | +110at FanDuel | 57 of 72· last season79%needs 48% to break even | Record is last season's | 6.5Good |
Last 10 games, oldest first: each bar is that game's result (points, yards, margin), the dashed line is today's number. Green won, red lost, grey tied; point at a bar for that game. Trend score: how far the bet has beaten its price, after discounting short runs. Details opens every stretch, the same bet at other numbers, and every book's price.
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